Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000671 0.000762 0.000857 0.000965 0.001084 0.001210 0.001355
2025-11-30 0.000527 0.000651 0.000792 0.000961 0.001159 0.001381 0.001648
2025-12-07 0.000448 0.000588 0.000753 0.000961 0.001212 0.001504 0.001867
2025-12-14 0.000384 0.000532 0.000714 0.000951 0.001247 0.001601 0.002053
2025-12-21 0.000332 0.000483 0.000676 0.000936 0.001269 0.001679 0.002214
2025-12-28 0.000306 0.000464 0.000673 0.000961 0.001341 0.001817 0.002451
2026-01-04 0.000280 0.000443 0.000664 0.000976 0.001398 0.001936 0.002665
2026-01-11 0.000250 0.000412 0.000639 0.000968 0.001422 0.002012 0.002825
2026-01-18 0.000223 0.000383 0.000613 0.000956 0.001438 0.002077 0.002969
2026-01-25 0.000205 0.000366 0.000604 0.000965 0.001482 0.002179 0.003165
2026-02-01 0.000188 0.000348 0.000591 0.000968 0.001517 0.002268 0.003344
2026-02-08 0.000165 0.000318 0.000557 0.000937 0.001502 0.002287 0.003428
2026-02-15 0.000145 0.000292 0.000528 0.000912 0.001495 0.002317 0.003529
2026-02-22 0.000131 0.000276 0.000514 0.000908 0.001518 0.002389 0.003689
2026-03-01 0.000120 0.000262 0.000502 0.000908 0.001545 0.002467 0.003858
2026-03-08 0.000109 0.000246 0.000485 0.000898 0.001557 0.002523 0.003996
2026-03-15 0.000097 0.000230 0.000466 0.000884 0.001560 0.002566 0.004117
2026-03-22 0.000093 0.000227 0.000471 0.000908 0.001625 0.002701 0.004373
2026-03-29 0.000088 0.000222 0.000470 0.000923 0.001674 0.002813 0.004597
2026-04-05 0.000080 0.000210 0.000457 0.000915 0.001687 0.002871 0.004742
2026-04-12 0.000072 0.000197 0.000441 0.000903 0.001693 0.002917 0.004870
2026-04-19 0.000068 0.000191 0.000438 0.000912 0.001732 0.003015 0.005078
2026-04-26 0.000063 0.000184 0.000431 0.000914 0.001761 0.003098 0.005264